College Football Pick: #1 Alabama Crimson Tide at #6 Auburn Tigers
Crimson Tide and Auburn Iron Bowl Picks
pmroczka
The last time Auburn (9-2 Overall, 6-1 SEC) lost was on Oct 14 when LSU beat them 27-23. On Nov 4, Alabama (11-0 Overall, 7-0 SEC) beat #19 LSU 24-10. Since their loss, the Tigers have won four straight, including a 40-17 win over then #1 Georgia. Automatically, that makes them the ultimate spoiler team. Can they take down another number one club in the same season? This is after all the Iron Bowl and this year there’s a lot at stake. Whoever wins this game takes the SEC West. Our Alabama plays Auburn 2017 Iron Bowl pick has the Crimson Tide at -5.0.
#1 Alabama Overview
Alabama is holding teams to 10.2 PPG, while they are scoring 41.4 PPG. The Tide offers a fantastic rush attack and a good passing game. How do you stop QB Jalen Hurts who has passed for 14 TDs and rushed for eight more while giving up only one pick. A total of 10 plays on Alabama have caught at least one TD pass and nine players have rushed for at least one TD. RB Damien Harris, who is averaging 8.2 YPA, has 11 rushing scores, while freshman wideout Henry Ruggs III tops the team in TD catches with five. The ‘Bama D has 15 INTs, close to 30 sacks and more than 50 TFL. They will ne looking to shutdown Auburn’s running game and put pressure on their pass attack.
# 6 Auburn Overview
The Tigers are scoring on average 37.6 PPG and holding teams to 16.6 PPG. The O-line is solid and the Auburn rush attack is solid, as is their passing game. For the Tigers, RB Kerryon Johnson is key. He has 220 carries for 1,172 yards and 16 TDs. The Tide has to stop him today. QB Jarrett Stidham (67.8 COMP%, 16 TDs, 4 INTs) is a steady force on the field. He’ll be looking to connect with Ryan Davis and Darius Slayton who each have five TD catches. Auburn has over 30 sacks and more than 40 TFL. Their picks are low, but they have forced more than a dozen fumbles.
Three Key Takeaways
Here are our three keys for our Alabama plays Auburn 2017 Iron Bowl pick-
Jalen Hurts is the best player on the field
Kerryon Johnson is the best RB on the field
Alabama D vs. Auburn D, give the Tide the edge
Crimson Tide at Tigers Free Pick
I’m thinking this will be a close call. The fact is the Crimson Tide brings a lot more weapons on both sides of the ball to this game. I’m looking at the over/under at 47.0. Two tough defenses are playing today. If this game goes over, then I think Alabama wins by seven at least. For my Alabama plays Auburn 2017 Iron Bowl pick, I’m going with both the over and Alabama at -5.0. Kickoff is at 3:30 p.m. E.T.
Our Free Point Spread and Over/Under Pick: Alabama at -5.0 and over 47.0