The Baltimore Ravens (6-2, 2-1 away) and Miami Dolphins (2-7, 1-3 home) kick off Week 10 of NFL action with a Thursday Night Football AFC showdown in South Beach. These two teams last met in 2019, with the Ravens rolling to a 59-10 victory.
Thursday’s contest kicks off at 8:20 p.m. EST inside Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL. According to the oddsmakers, Baltimore is a 7.5-point favorite, and the over-under total is 47 points.
What to Know – Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore bounced back last week after a bye week to defeat the Vikings in overtime, 34-31. The Ravens sit in first place in the AFC North, one game ahead of the surging Pittsburgh Steelers.
Offensively, the Ravens are scoring 27.6 points and averaging 442.6 yards of offense per game. The defense is holding opponents to 24.4 points and 388.4 yards of offense per contest.
Lamar Jackson is coming off the victory over Minnesota, where the quarterback threw for 266 yards and added 120 yards on the ground. Jackson’s thrown 13 touchdown passes this season and leads the Ravens with 600 yards on the ground.
Wideout Marquis Brown continues to see his role expand in the offense. The speedy pass-catcher has caught a team-high 46 passes for 682 yards and six touchdowns, both numbers on track to set season-bests.
The Ravens are 3-6 against the spread over their last nine games and 1-2 ATS on the road this season. Baltimore has a sporty 9-0 record ATS in its last nine matchups against Miami.
What to Know – Miami Dolphins
Miami got back in the win column after suffering seven-straight losses and dropping to the bottom of the AFC East standings. The Dolphins have a favorable schedule coming up to improve their record, with contests against the Jets, Panthers, and Giants on tap.
The Dolphins offense scores 17.2 points per game, one of the lowest in the league, behind 315.9 yards of offense. Miami’s defense is allowing 26.9 points and 407.7 yards of offense to opponents.
Miami started Jacoby Brissett in last week’s victory with Tua Tagovailoa nursing a finger injury and unable to go. Brissett completed 26-of-43 passes for 244 yards with one touchdown and a pair of interceptions. The Dolphins turned the ball over five times in the win.
Tua is questionable for Thursday night’s contest, and given the short week of rest, it is likely that Brissett makes another start for Miami.
Miami is 3-5-1 ATS this season with a 1-3 mark at home. The Dolphins are 0-6 ATS at home over their last six games against the Ravens.
The Pick is In
Miami is coming off a victory but with five turnovers that would lead to a blowout against any other team in the NFL. The Ravens are rolling, winning six of their last seven, and came back from 14 points down last week to defeat the Vikings.
Baltimore uses a punishing ground game to run all over a Miami defense that surrenders over 110 yards of offense on the ground per game.
Betting Pick: Baltimore Ravens -7.5
