The Chicago Bears (4-8, 2-4 away) clash with the Green Bay Packers (9-3, 5-0 home) in an NFC North rivalry tilt on Sunday Night Football. Green Bay took care of business in their first matchup, winning 24-14 in Week 6.
Sunday’s prime-time kickoff is at 8:20 p.m. EST inside Lambeau Stadium in Green Bay, WI. The Packers are an 11.5-point favorite, and the over-under total is at 43.0 points.
What to Know – Chicago Bears
Chicago’s dropped six of their last seven, and head coach Matt Nagy is firmly on the hot seat. The Bears’ only victory over the last two months was a two-point victory over the Detriot Lions on Thanksgiving. Chicago has been all but eliminated from the postseason.
The Bears average 16.8 points per game behind an offense that generates 323.3 yards of offense per game. Defensively, Chicago surrenders 23.9 points and 348.4 yards of total offense to opposing offenses.
Andy Dalton tossed a pair of touchdown passes but also coughed up four interceptions in last week’s 33-22 loss at home to the Arizona Cardinals. Rookie Justin Fields is expected to be back under center against the Packers after missing the last few weeks with injured ribs.
David Montgomery carried the ball 21 times for 90 yards and a touchdown, and Jakeem Grant Sr. led the Bears in receiving with five receptions, 62 yards, and one touchdown.
Betting trends show the Bears are 4-8 against the spread this year with a 2-4 mark on the road. Chicago is 0-5 ATS in their last five games in Green Bay.
What to Know – Green Bay Packers
The Packers have a large lead in the NFC North, and a win Sunday night locks up their postseason bid for the third season in a row. Green Bay picked a 36-28 victory last week over the Los Angeles Rams.
Green Bay scores 23.6 points per game and produces 368.0 yards of offense per game. The Packers allow 20.2 points and 340.3 yards per game on defense.
Aaron Rodgers is battling a lingering toe injury, but you wouldn’t know it with his play last week against the Rams. Rodgers accounted for three touchdowns, two through the air and one on the ground, to lead the Packers to a key divisional victory.
AJ Dillion led Green Bay’s backfield, carrying the rock 20 times for 69 yards. Dillion added five receptions for 21 yards and a touchdown. Wide receiver Davante Adams hauled in a team-high eight receptions for 104 yards.
Green Bay has owned the spread, sporting a 10-2 record ATS this season. The Packers are a perfect 5-0 ATS at Lambeau this year.
The Pick is In
Rodgers and the Packers have owned the Bears for years and now get Chicago on SNF on their home turf. Fields is back after missing time, and it’ll be interesting to see how the rookie performs in the marquee matchup after time off.
This is a big number to cover, but the Packers’ defense will limit the Bears’ offense, and Rodgers will put up big numbers against a Bears defensive unit without Kahlil Mack.
Betting Pick: Green Bay Packers -11.5
