NFL Pick – Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns

Bengals Underdogs

pmroczkaLast Updated: September 17, 2020

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This Cincinnati vs Cleveland pick involves two teams that are 0-1 for 2020. On Sunday, the Los Angeles Chargers beat the Bengals 16-13. Also, on Sunday in Week 1 of the 2020-2021 NFL season, the Baltimore Ravens hammered the Browns 38-6. These two teams come to this Thursday Night Football game on short rest and with each looking for a win. The Bengals come to this game as the underdog at +6.0 (-105). The Browns are at -6.0 (-103). The moneyline has Cincy at +230 and hometown Cleveland at -245. The game will be played at FirstEnergy Stadium in Cleveland, OH with the kickoff scheduled for 8:20 pm ET on September 17, 2020.

Cincinnati vs Cleveland Pick – Offenses

This past Sunday, both of these team’s offenses performed poorly. Neither QBs Joe Burrow nor Ryan Finley had very good games on Sunday. Rookie Burrow tops the depth chart and is expected to get the start. Burrow has some solid pass catchers to toss to including WR A.J. Green. Running back Joe Mixon averaged 3.6 YPA on Sunday, while Burrow was good for 5.8.

QB Baker Mayfield starts his third NFL season and is looking to rebound from a disappointing second season. Against Baltimore, Mayfield completed just 53.8% of his passes, tossing one TD and one INT. He was sacked twice. We expect he should do better versus the Bengals but will he perform good enough to win? The running game was fairly solid as Kareem Hunt averaged 5.5 YPA and Nick Chubb 6.0. Mayfield has solid targets to toss to in Jarvis Landry and Odell Beckham.

Bengals vs Browns Spread Pick – Defenses

Our Cincinnati vs Cleveland pick finds that LB Germaine Pratt will be essential in stopping the Browns. Safeties Vonn Bell and Jessie Bates III are solid while DE Sam Hubbard will be looking to stop Cleveland’s rush attack. Last season, Cincy was 32nd versus they pass. They must do better than that to win on Thursday.

Against Baltimore, the Brown’s defense gave up three passing and two rushing TDs. They need to do a lot better against Cincy. LBs B.J. Goodson and Sione Takitaki as well as safety Karl Joseph must step up. This team gave up 25 TD passes last season and they are almost one-eighth of the way there in 2020 after one game.

Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns – Trends

Our Cincinnati vs Cleveland pick notes the following trends for the Bengals. Cincy is 8-3 SU and 9-2 against in their last 11 games versus the Browns. Interesting to note that the Bengals are 5-1 ATS versus Cleveland in their last six games on the road, but they are 0-12 SU in their last dozen road contests. In their last six games versus the spread and straight up, the Browns are 1-5. However, in their last five home games, the team is 4-1 SU.

Cincinnati vs Cleveland Pick – Final Word

This Cincinnati vs Cleveland pick notes that the Brown’s O-line is really beat up and vulnerable. They’ve also got some question marks on defense. Cincy also comes to town with some question marks on defense. We are going with the underdog Bengals and taking them outright to win at +230.