ABC will be covering the week six matchup between the Missouri Tigers and Texas A&M Aggies, set for 12:00 ET at Kyle Field in College Station. The over/under line is currently at 48.5 points, and the Aggies are the slight -2.5-point favorites at home. Both teams enter the game with a 4-1 record, and the money line odds are -131 for Texas A&M and +110 for Missouri.
Missouri Tigers Starts 4-0
Missouri is 4-0 and ranked 14th in our power rankings. They have a 99.4% chance of becoming bowl-eligible and a 1.7% chance of winning the Southeastern. Missouri has a 32.0% chance of making the playoff, which is 14th in the country.
Missouri’s offense is 25th in scoring, averaging 36.5 points per game. They are 47th in our offensive power rankings. Brady Cook has 946 passing yards and a passer rating of 95. He has a 4-1 TD/INT ratio and is completing 68.7% of his passes. Nate Noel is averaging 6 yards per carry and has 441 rushing yards.
Missouri’s defense is 7th in scoring, allowing 12 points per game. They are also 7th against the pass, giving up 127.2 yards per game. Missouri is 21st against the run, allowing 92.2 yards per game. In their latest game, they gave up 27 points and 325 yards in a 30-27 overtime win against Vanderbilt.
Texas A&M Aggies Ranked 18 in Power Rankings
At 4-1 this season, Texas A&M is ranked 18th in our CFB power rankings. They have a 98.1% chance of being bowl-eligible, but only a 1.5% shot at winning the Southeastern. However, they have a 12.4% chance of making the CFB playoff. The Aggies have a +11 average scoring margin but are 1-3 against the spread. They are 0-3 ATS at home and 1-0 on the road, going 1-3 as the favorite. Their over/under record is 1-3, with an average line of 48.4 points. This week’s line is 48.5, and their games average 47 points per contest.
Heading into week 6, Texas A&M’s offense is averaging 29 points per game, placing them 53rd nationally. They are ranked 48th in our offensive power rankings. Their rushing attack is their strength, ranking 6th in rushing attempts and 7th in rushing yards, with 232.6 yards per game. Le’Veon Moss leads the team with 471 rushing yards, averaging 6 yards per carry, and has scored three touchdowns. Quarterback Marcel Reed has thrown for 585 yards, completing 54.4% of his passes, and has six touchdowns with no interceptions. He has a passer rating of 103. Texas A&M ranks 100th in passing yards per game. Cyrus Allen leads the receivers with 203 yards and one touchdown.
Texas A&M’s defense has been solid this season, ranking 31st nationally by allowing just 18 points per game. Against Arkansas, they gave up 17 points but held the Razorbacks to 100 rushing yards on 30 attempts, while allowing 279 passing yards and forcing one interception. Opponents are averaging 123.8 rushing yards per game on 30 attempts against Texas A&M, while quarterbacks have completed 57.4% of their passes, averaging 207 yards per game and a passer rating of 68.2, which ranks 27th in the country.
Texas A&M to Edge Missouri in Week 6
Our projection for this week six matchup between Texas A&M and Missouri is a 30-24 win for the Aggies. Texas A&M is the -2.5 point favorite, and we expect them to cover the spread.
With the over/under line set at 48.5 points, our projection of 54 combined points suggests that taking the over is the best play.
