ESPN is covering the matchup between the Ole Miss Rebels and South Carolina Gamecocks, set to kick off at 3:30 ET from Williams-Brice Stadium in Columbia. Ole Miss comes in with a 4-1 record, while South Carolina is 3-1. The Rebels are favored by -9 points, and the over/under line is currently 53.5 points for this week six Southeastern matchup.
High-Flying Ole Miss
Ole Miss is 4-1 and ranked 6th in our power rankings. They have a 99.8% chance of being bowl-eligible and a 4.7% shot at winning the Southeastern. Ole Miss is 3-1 against the spread and has a +39 average scoring margin. The over/under line for this week is 53.5 points, and Ole Miss games have averaged 55.8 points this season.
Ole Miss is 2nd in passing with 390.4 yards per game and 6th in scoring, averaging 47.4 points per game. Jaxson Dart has thrown for 1,815 yards and has 13 touchdowns with just two interceptions. Henry Parrish Jr. is averaging 7 yards per carry and has eight touchdowns. Tre Harris leads the receivers with 804 yards and five touchdowns.
Defensively, Ole Miss is 5th in scoring defense, allowing just 8.4 points per game. They are 2nd against the run, giving up 51.2 yards per game. Last week, they allowed 20 points and 344 total yards to Kentucky.
Gamecocks 3-1 Coming In
South Carolina is 3-1 heading into their matchup with Ole Miss, with a 76.6% chance of reaching bowl eligibility. They are 25th in our power rankings and have a 2-1 record at home, compared to 1-0 on the road. The Gamecocks are 3-1 ATS, with an average scoring margin of +17.2 points, and the over/under line for this game is 53.5 points. South Carolina’s games have averaged 51.2 points, and they are 2-2 against the total this season.
South Carolina’s offense is averaging 198 rushing yards per game and 34.2 points, ranking 33rd in the nation. Quarterback LaNorris Sellers has thrown for 393 yards, two touchdowns, and two interceptions. They are 109th in passing yards per game and 29.6% on third downs. The Gamecocks are 92nd in our offensive power rankings.
Defensively, South Carolina is 18th in scoring defense, allowing 17 points per game. They are 28th in passing defense, allowing 160.8 yards per game. In their most recent game, South Carolina held Akron to just 7 points and 180 total yards. Akron had -16 rushing yards on 19 attempts and completed 25 of 38 passes for 196 yards. The Gamecocks also forced two interceptions.
Bet on South Carolina to Cover
South Carolina enters this game as +9 point underdogs at home, but we expect them to cover the spread. Our projected final score is 31-19 in favor of the Gamecocks, making them a good bet to cover.
For the over/under, with the line set at 53.5 points, our projection of 50 combined points suggests taking the under as the best play.
