The Miami Dolphins (8-6, 5-1 home) are squarely in the postseason conversation, while the Green Bay Packers (6-8, 2-5 away) hold on to a slimmer of playoff hope as the two teams collide on Sunday. This will be the first time the two teams have met since 2018, and the Dolphins hold a 10-5 advantage in the series all-time.
The AFC versus NFC showdown kicks off at 1 p.m. EST inside Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida. Miami is a four-point favorite, and the over/under total is 50 points.
What to Know – Green Bay Packers
Green Bay has won its last two contests to keep its playoff hopes intact as we reach the final three weeks of the regular season. The Packers will need to win out to punch their ticket to the postseason for the third year in a row.
On offense, the Packers average 20.5 points per game behind an offense that generates 345.6 yards of total offense. Green Bay’s defense surrenders 22.4 points and 334.0 yards of offense to opposing teams per game.
Green Bay appears to be relatively healthy coming into Sunday’s showdown, with no one officially ruled out who isn’t on the injured list. Running back Aaron Jones is listed as questionable but did practice on Thursday. Offensive linemen David Bakhtiari and Elgton Jenkins also drew questionable tags.
The Packers are 6-8 against the spread this year and 3-4 ATS on the road. Green Bay is 4-1 ATS in their previous five games against the Dolphins.
What to Know – Miami Dolphins
The Dolphins return to Florida after three weeks on the road and three losses. Miami isn’t a guarantee for the playoffs, but a victory over the Packers would put away any doubt of the Dolphins crumbling down the stretch and missing the postseason.
Offensively, Miami has one of the top offenses in the NFL, scoring 24.6 points and 370.4 yards of offense per contest. The Dolphins’ defense ranks near the bottom of the league, allowing 24.6 points and 357.6 yards to opponents.
A handful of the Dolphins starters are questionable for this weekend, but only Eric Fisher and Terron Armstead yet to see the practice field as of Friday. Starting tight end Durham Smythe and backup running back Justin Wilson Jr. each got limited action on Thursday.
Miami is 7-7 ATS this season and 4-2 ATS in South Beach. The Dolphins are 1-5 ATS in their last six games against the Packers at home.
The Pick is In
Green Bay looks to have found its rhythm in the month of December with a pair of victories, while the Dolphins have trended the opposite direction. Miami has played a tough schedule leading up to Sunday’s contest and have won all but one game at home. Still, with their playoff hopes on the line, it is hard to not take Aaron Rodgers and the points in this one.
The Pick: Green Bay Packers +4
