The Dallas Cowboys (8-3, 5-1 home) host the Indianapolis Colts (4-7-1, 2-3-1 away) in primetime on Sunday Night Football to cap Sunday’s NFL action. The contest will be the first matchup between the two franchises since Indianapolis blanked the Cowboys, 23-0, in 2018.
The interdivisional showdown kicks off at 8:20 p.m. inside AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. Dallas is a 10.5-point favorite, and the over/under total is 44.5 points.
What to Know – Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis opened with a victory in interim head coach Jeff Saturday’s debut but has since dropped its last two, both by single digits. The Colts aren’t eliminated from the playoff picture just yet, tied for second place in the AFC South with the Jacksonville Jaguars.
On offense, the Colts average 15.8 points per game, ranking near the bottom of the league. The defense for Indianapolis is 11th in the league surrendering 19.7 points per game.
Matt Ryan has struggled in his first season in Indy, throwing only 11 touchdown passes to ten interceptions and getting sacked 32 times. All-Pro running back Jonathan Taylor has also been the victim of a poor offense, rushing for 779 yards and just four scores.
The Colts are 2-4 against the spread through its last six contests but 9-3 ATS over the previous 12 matchups against teams from the NFC. The under has hit in eight of Indy’s last nine games on the road.
What to Know – Dallas Cowboys
The Cowboys have won two in a row and four of its last five and have a 5-1 record at home. Dallas is closing in on a playoff berth, sitting second in the NFC East.
Dallas is seventh in the NFL, scoring 25.4 points per game. The Cowboys’ defense is second in the league allowing opponents 17.0 ppg.
Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliott missed time earlier in the year, paving the way for Tony Pollard to showcase his rushing and receiving skills. Pollard leads the team with 761 yards on the ground and fifth on the roster adding 244 yards through the air.
Dallas is 7-3 ATS over the last ten contests and 10-5 ATS in games against teams from the AFC South. The total has gone under in four of the last five contests against the Colts.
The Pick is In
Dallas has enjoyed the extra time to prepare for the Colts and are trending in the right direction at home. The Cowboys’ defense should have no issues putting pressure on Ryan and creating numerous three-and-outs to keep the Colts out of scoring position.
Indianapolis will have to step up the run defense if it wants to keep this one close, as the duo of Elliot and Pollard will have a field day against a Colts defensive unit that allowed Pittsburgh to rush for 172 yards.
The spread is a large number, but all signs point to a blowout victory at home for the Cowboys.
The Pick: Dallas Cowboys -10.5
