MLB Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks at Pittsburgh Pirates

Official Diamondbacks LogoThe Arizona Diamondbacks head into Pittsburgh for a three game series with the Pirates. The Diamondbacks haven’t had a whole lot of luck versus the Pirates of late losing 5 of the last 6 meetings overall including 2 of the last 3 played in Pittsburgh.

Head to Head Trends

Diamondbacks are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings.
Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings.

Pittsburgh Pirates (-210)

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 2nd in the National League Central 5 games back of the 1st place St Louis Cardinals. The Pirates are playing some great ball right now winning 8 of their last 10 games. They’re getting some decent pitching allowing 3.90 runs per game over their last 10 games but it’s their bats doing most of the damage hitting .306 as a team and averaging 6.20 runs per game over their last 10.

On the hill for the Pirates today is Gerrit Cole who is 14-6 with a 2.48 ERA on the season. Cole has been the Pirates best starter and especially at home where he is 8-2 with a 2.76 ERA in 11 starts.

Pittsburgh Pirates Trends

Pirates are 38-16 in their last 54 home games.
Pirates are 22-5 in Coles last 27 home starts.

Arizona Diamondbacks (+190)

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 3rd in the National League West 9 games back of the 1st place LA Dodgers. The Diamondbacks are putting up some pretty good numbers of late averaging 5.30 runs per game on offense while allowing just 3.50 runs per game on defense over their last 10 games but over those 10 games they are just 5-5 so it’s not really translating to wins for them right now.

Starting for the Diamondbacks today is Jeremy Hellickson who is 8-8 with a 4.73 ERA on the season. Hellickson has been pitching much better of late even with that you still don’t know what your going to get from each start he could pitch great and he could get hammered you just don’t know.

Arizona Diamondbacks Trends

Diamondbacks are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 1 of a series.
Diamondbacks are 3-12 in their last 15 vs. a team with a winning record.

Conclusion

I don’t know why but my gut is telling me to go with the Diamondbacks over the Pirates in this one. The Diamondbacks are hitting the ball well right now and looks like some of their big bats are heating up so might be a good spot for a big upset.

Free Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks +190 

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