MLB Pick: Atlanta Braves at New York Mets

Overview

The Atlanta Braves visit Citi Field in New York for a four game series with their division rivals the New York Mets. In the nine meetings so far this season the Braves have gotten the best of the Mets winning 6 of those games. The Braves have won 12 of the last 20 meetings overall and they have also won 12 of the last 20 meetings in New York so it doesn’t really matter where they play the outcome is the same with the Braves winning.

Head to Head Trends

Braves are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Braves are 7-3 in Minors last 10 starts vs. Mets.

Atlanta Braves (-129)

The Atlanta Braves are 1st in the National League East 0.5 games up on the Washington Nationals. The Braves are one of the hottest teams in baseball right now winning 9 of their last 10 games, their loss yesterday actually ended what was a 9 game win streak. Over that stretch they have been getting some great pitching allowing just 2.50 runs per game but they have also hitting the ball pretty good as well averaging 5.10 runs per game. Starting for the Braves is lefty Mike Minor who has struggled a bit this season going just 2-5 with a 4.73 ERA in 12 starts this season.

Atlanta Braves Trends

Braves are 9-1 in their last 10 overall.
Braves are 7-0 in their last 7 vs. National League East.
Braves are 13-3 in their last 16 games vs. a right-handed starter.

New York Mets (+119)

The New York Mets are 4th in the National League East 10 games back of the Atlanta Braves. The Mets actually started out the season showing some promise winning 15 of their first 26 games but they have since gone back to the same old Mets and have lost 38 of their last 62 games. Starting for the Mets is Daisuke Matsuzaka who is 3-3 with a 3.72 ERA on the season. Daisuke has been touched up in his last two starts including allowing 5 runs to the Braves in his last start.

New York Mets Trends

Mets are 27-62 in their last 89 games as a home underdog.
Mets are 3-8 in their last 11 overall.
Mets are 4-9 in their last 13 home games vs. a left-handed starter.

Conclusion

I like the Atlanta Braves to get it done in this one today. The Braves are hot right now, they’re getting some good pitching and good hitting plus we have a Mets team who are heading in the opposite direction losing 8 of their last 10 games.

Free Pick: Atlanta Braves -129