Overview
The Baltimore Orioles are in Minnesota for the second game of their three game series with the Twins. This has been a fairly even series over the last few years but the Twins have won the last 3 meetings played at home in Minnesota and something else to take note of is the under is 34-15-2 in the last 51 meetings in Minnesota.
Head to Head Trends
Under is 34-15-2 in the last 51 meetings in Minnesota.
Minnesota Twins (+105)
The Minnesota Twins are 2nd in the American League Central 4 games behind the 1st place Kansas City Royals. The Twins were super hot back in May but since June has come they haven’t really been doing a whole lot winning just 14 of their last 34 games. The Twins play much better at home where they have a 26-15 record so after just finishing up a 10 game road trip they’re probably happy to be back home for a while.
On the hill for the Twins today is Kyle Gibson who is 6-6 with a 3.04 ERA on the season. Gibson hasn’t been anything special this season but he has been solid and with an ERA just over 3 he keeps the Twins in games and gives them a chance to win each night.
Minnesota Twins Trends
Twins are 21-8 in their last 29 games as a home underdog.
Twins are 11-4 in their last 15 vs. American League East.
The Baltimore Orioles are 2nd in the American League East just 1.5 games back of the 1st place New York Yankees. The Orioles were one of the hottest teams in the league not too long ago in large part due to their offense who were absolutely on fire. The thing is when most of your hitters are red hot at the same time like the Orioles were they have to come back down to earth sooner or later and that looks to be happening now as the Orioles have lost 6 of their last 8 games scoring under 3 runs in 5 of them.
Starting for the Orioles today is Kevin Gausman who is 1-0 with a 3.09 ERA in 2 starts and a handful of relief appearances this season. Gausman has looked ok in his couple starts but I have a feeling he might get knocked around a bit today.
Baltimore Orioles Trends
Orioles are 2-7 in Gausmans last 9 starts.
Orioles are 1-4 in their last 5 overall.
Conclusion
I’m going with the Minnesota Twins over the Orioles in this one. The Twins played well at home where they are 26-15 while the Orioles who have cooled off dramatically over the past week or so don’t really play all that well on the road in general where they are just 15-23.
Free Pick: Minnesota Twins +105
