Overview
The Cincinnati Reds look to avoid getting swept today in their three game series with the San Diego Padres. The Padres somehow managed to win game one despite having just one hit total in the game and they roughed up Mike Leake in the 2nd game with 8 runs and 16 hits. These teams have met 5 times so far this season with the Padres winning 4 of those games.
Head to Head Trends
Reds are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings.
Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
San Diego Padres (+120)
The San Diego Padres are 3rd in the National League West 10.5 games back of the San Francisco Giants. The Padres are 10 games under .500 overall this season but they play half decent at home where they are just 1 game under .500 with 22 wins and 23 losses. The Padres are last in almost every offensive category and in most cases its not even close. They are last in batting average with just a .213 average which is 18 points lower then the next worse team. They are last in runs scored with 251 which is 56 less then the next worse team and they are also last in hits with 582 which is 60 back of the next lowest total. Starting for the Padres is Tyson Ross who is 6-8 with a 3.18 ERA on the season.
San Diego Padres Trends
Padres are 0-5 in Ross last 5 starts.
Padres are 3-8 in Ross last 11 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Padres are 3-9 in their last 12 during game 3 of a series.
Cincinnati Reds (-130)
The Cincinnati Reds are 3rd in the NL Central 7 games back of the Milwaukee Brewers. The Reds are 24-22 away from home this season where they average 3.92 runs per game on offense and allow 3.73 runs per game on defense. Despite losing the first two games of the series the Reds are still playing some good ball lately winning 14 of their last 20 games. On the hill for the Reds today is their ace Johnny Cueto who is 8-5 with a Major League leading 1.88 earned run average. Cueto has been outstanding this season and is probably a leader for the Cy Young right now.
Cincinnati Reds Trends
Reds are 43-21 in Cuetos last 64 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Reds are 8-3 in their last 11 overall.
Reds are 13-5 in their last 18 road games.
Conclusion
I’m going with the Reds to avoid getting swept today. The Padres offense is absolutely horrible in general and now they’ll be facing one of the top pitchers in all of baseball in Johnny Cueto so I think the Padres offense will probably be in for a long day today.
Free Pick: Cincinnati Reds -130
