Overview
The Cleveland Indians are in Cincinnati tonight for the final game of their four games series with the Reds. The Indians won the first three games of the series outscoring the Reds 36-14. Over the past two seasons the Indians have dominated the Reds winning 8 of the last 9 meetings.
Head to Head Trends
Indians are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
Cincinnati Reds (+130)
The Cincinnati Reds are last in the National League Central with a 15-25 record 14 games out of 1st place which is also the biggest deficit in all of baseball right now. The Reds have a solid offense averaging 4.18 runs per game but their pitching has been brutal this season allowing a league worst 5.98 runs per game.
On the hill for the Reds in this one is rookie Tim Adleman who is 1-1 with a 3.38 ERA in 3 starts this season. I don’t know much about Adleman but his numbers don’t indicate he’s anything special with 13 strikeouts versus 7 walks in 16 innings of work.
Cincinnati Reds Trends
Over is 10-3-2 in Reds last 15 home games.
Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 overall.
The Cleveland Indians are 2nd in the American League Central with a 20-17 record just 2.5 games back of the 1st place Chicago White Sox. The Indians are actually one of the better hitting teams in the league averaging 4.84 runs per game overall this season and they’re super hot right now averaging 8.00 runs per game over their last 5 games.
Taking the mound for the Indians today is Josh Tomlin who is 5-0 with a 3.82 ERA in his 6 starts this season. Tomlin has pitched pretty good this season but at 5-0 he’s up there with some of the best pitchers in baseball record wise and Tomlin is definitely no Chris Sale or Jake Arrieta so I think its only time till the wheels fall off for Tomlin.
Cleveland Indians Trends
Over is 5-1-1 in Indians last 7 overall.
Over is 20-8 in Tomlins last 28 starts overall.
Conclusion
I don’t really like either side here maybe the Indians is I had to pick but what I do like is the total and over 8.5 runs. Both teams play a lot of high scoring games in general their combined over/under record is 43-28 plus the Indians are just killing the ball right now and they’re going up against a rookie pitcher so this might be another blowout.
Free Pick: Indians and Reds over 8.5 at the Bovada Sportsbook
