The Colorado Rockies are in sunny Miami for a big four game series with the Marlins. This has been a fairly even series over the past few years although the slight edge goes to the Marlins. The Marlins have won 12 of the last 20 meetings overall and they have also won 13 of the last 20 meetings played in Miami.
Head to Head Trends
Over is 3-0-2 in the last 5 meetings in Miami.
The Miami Marlins are 4th in the National League East 7.5 games back of the 1st place Washington Nationals. The Marlins had a nice hot stretch earlier in the season that saw them win 9 of 10 games but apart from that they have been pretty disappointing.
On the hill for the Marlins today is David Phelps who is 2-3 with a 4.68 ERA on the season. Phelps has been solid for the most part this season, that is if you take away his last start that saw him give up 9 runs off 11 hits versus the Rockies who he’s facing again today.
Miami Marlins Trends
Marlins are 0-5 in Phelps’ last 5 starts.
Marlins are 5-17 in their last 22 vs. a team with a losing record.
Colorado Rockies (+136)
The Colorado Rockies are 4th in the National League West 7 games out of 1st place. The Rockies are playing some solid ball right now winning 12 of their last 18 games in large part due to their offense who are really hitting the ball well of late batting over .300 and averaging over 5 and a half runs per game over their last 10 games.
Starting for the Rockies today is lefty Christopher Rusin who is 2-0 with a 1.45 ERA in his two starts this season. Rusin has looked great in both his starts going 7 innings in both and allowing just 3 runs total.
Colorado Rockies Trends
Rockies are 11-5 in their last 16 games as an underdog.
Rockies are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Conclusion
I’m going to go with the Colorado Rockies over the Marlins in this one. The Marlins pretty much suck in general so fading them is never a bad play but I really like the Rockies when their offense is firing on all cylinders like they have been over the past couple weeks.
Free Pick: Colorado Rockies +136 at Bovada
