Overview
The Kansas City Royals head into Toronto for a big four game series with the Blue Jays. This has actually been a fairly even series overall of late but the Royals have had a hard time winning in Toronto over the years with just 12 wins over the last 38 games.
Head to Head Trends
Royals are 12-26 in the last 38 meetings in Toronto.
Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Toronto.
Toronto Blue Jays (-140)
The Toronto Blue Jays are 3rd in the American League East 7 games back of the 1st place New York Yankees. The Blue Jays have the best offense in baseball averaging 5.27 runs per game and they actually just got even better with the trade for Troy Tulowitzki. Last night was Tulowitzki’s first game with the Blue Jays and he didn’t disappoint hitting two doubles and a homerun.
On the hill for the Blue Jays today is Marco Estrada who is 7-6 with a 3.55 ERA on the season. Estrada had a rough start to the season but over the last month or so he’s had some really good outings which included a couple close no hitters and a couple starts ago he threw 8 strong innings while allowing just 3 hits.
Toronto Blue Jays Trends
Blue Jays are 7-3 in Estradas last 10 starts.
Blue Jays are 9-2 in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Kansas City Royals (+130)
The Kansas City Royals are 1st in the American League Central 9 games clear of the 2nd place Minnesota Twins. The Royals also have the best record in the entire American League at 61-39. The Royals have obviously played great this season but they don’t exactly have the strongest rotation so it’s very surprising they have been able to do as good as they have although I do think they hit a cold stretch before the season is over.
Starting for the Royals in this one is lefty Danny Duffy who is 4-4 with a 4.03 ERA on the season. Duffy also had a poor start to the season but he’s put together four quality starts in a row although lets see how he does tonight against a Blue Jays team that crushes everybody but especially left handed pitching.
Kansas City Royals Trends
Royals are 0-7 in Duffys last 7 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150.
Royals are 3-7 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Conclusion
I’m going with the Toronto Blue Jays over the Royal in this one. The Blue Jays crush left handed pitching so I think Duffy and the Royals might be in for a long night tonight.
Free Pick: Toronto Blue Jays -140 at TopBet
