Overview
The LA Dodgers finish up their east coast swing today in New York where they take on the Mets. The Dodgers won the first two games of this series but the Mets bounced back with a big 15-2 win in yesterdays game although they will probably have a lot harder time today scoring runs with Greinke on the mound for the Dodgers.
Head to Head Trends
Dodgers are 16-6 in the last 22 meetings.
Dodgers are 10-3 in the last 13 meetings in New York.
New York Mets (+120)
The New York Mets are 2nd in the National League East 3 games behind the 1st place Washington Nationals. This season the Mets have been all about playing at home where they have a 33-16 compared to their 17-32 record on the road. The big difference for the Mets is they actually can actually hit at home where they average 4.12 runs per game versus under 3 runs per game away from home.
Starting for the Mets today is Jacob deGrom who is 10-6 with a 2.18 ERA on the season. deGrom has pitched great this season especially at home where is 5-2 with a 1.67 ERA.
New York Mets Trends
Mets are 11-4 in deGroms last 15 home starts.
Mets are 14-37 in their last 51 games as an underdog.
LA Dodgers (-130)
The LA Dodgers are 1st in the National League West 2 games clear of the 2nd place San Francisco Giants. The Dodgers also play well at home and struggle on the road although at just 3 games under .500 away from home they’re not nearly as bad as the Mets. Even though the Dodgers are 3 games under .500 on the road they still have a +0.23 runs differential so they probably should be closer to a few games over .500 instead of under.
On the hill for the Dodgers in this one is Zack Greinke who is 9-2 with a 1.30 ERA on the season. What Greinke is doing right now is almost unbelievable he hasn’t allowed a single run in his last 6 starts. Out of Greinke’s 19 starts this season he has allowed 1 or less runs in 15 of them.
LA Dodgers Trends
Dodgers are 22-8 in their last 30 Sunday games.
Dodgers are 8-2 in Greinkes last 10 road starts.
Conclusion
I’m going to go with the Dodgers over the Mets in this one. In most circumstances I wouldn’t bet against deGrom and the Mets at home but the way Greinke has been pitching it’s hard to bet against him right now.
Free Pick: LA Dodgers -130 at Bovada
