Overview
The Milwaukee Brewers look to complete the three game sweep of Central division rivals the Cincinnati Reds today. The Brewers easily took the first two games of the series outscoring the Reds 19-4. The Brewers have however struggled big time when playing in Cincinnati over the past few seasons winning just 16 of the last 51 games.
Head to Head Trends
Brewers are 16-35 in the last 51 meetings in Cincinnati.
Reds are 1-4 in Leakes last 5 starts vs. Brewers.
Cincinnati Red (-125)
The Cincinnati Reds are 4th in the National League Central 15.5 games back of the 1st place St Louis Cardinals. The Reds are in a bit of a cold stretch right now winning just 2 of their last 8 games and have not looked very good at all getting outscored 48-26. The Reds have a solid offense especially at home where they are averaging 4.54 runs per game but they’re pitching kind of sucks as well allowing 4.62 runs per game so that’s a lot especially for the National League.
Starting for the Red today is Mike Leake who is 5-4 with a 4.38 ERA in the season. Leake has been really good at times this season but he has also been knocked around pretty hard a few times mostly at home where he has a 6.11 ERA.
Cincinnati Reds Trends
Reds are 2-6 in their last 8 overall.
Reds are 4-11 in Leakes last 15 starts vs. National League Central.
Milwaukee Brewers (+115)
The Milwaukee Brewers are last in the National League Central 18.5 games out of 1st place. The Brewers are one of the worst teams in the league but at the moment they are also probably the hottest team in the league winning 10 of their last 12 games including their last 7 in a row. A big reason for their success of late is the Brewers bats have been absolutely on fire, batting .347 and averaging 8 runs per game over their last 5 games.
Taking the mound for the Brewers in this one is Taylor Jungmann who is 2-1 with a 2.79 ERA in 5 starts this season. Jungmann is a rookie making just his 6 start of his career but so far he has looked solid enough.
Milwaukee Brewers Trends
Brewers are 7-0 in their last 7 overall.
Brewers are 6-0 in their last 6 road games.
Conclusion
I’m going with the Milwaukee Brewers over the Reds in this one. The Brewers bats are just super hot right now and Leake hasn’t pitched all that great at home this season so we might be in for another big day for the Brewers hitters.
Free Pick: Milwaukee Brewers +115
