Overview
The Milwaukee Brewers are in Cincinnati for the final game of their three game series with the Reds. The Reds took the first game but the Brewers bounced back in a big way crushing the Reds 9-1 in yesterdays game.
Head to Head Trends
Brewers are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
Over is 12-3-1 in the last 16 meetings in Cincinnati.
Cincinnati Reds (-105)
The Cincinnati Reds are last in the National League Central 25 games under .500 and 22.5 games out of 1st place. The Reds have a decent offense averaging 4.20 runs per game but it’s not a very consistent offense they can score 9 runs one night and then get shutout the next so hard to know what to expect from them on a night to night basis.
The one thing you can expect from the Reds is for their pitching to be horrible. The Reds have the worst starting pitching in the league with a 5.50 ERA and they also have the worst bullpen in the league with a 5.59 ERA.
Starting for the Reds in this one is Dan Straily who is 4-6 with a 4.35 ERA on the season. Straily is coming off back to back quality starts which is rare for a Reds starter but even if he does pitch well the bullpen will probably blow it anyway.
Cincinnati Reds Trends
Reds are 2-8 in their last 10 home games.
Reds are 14-38 in their last 52 Sunday games.
Milwaukee Brewers (-105)
The Milwaukee Brewers are 4th in the National League Central 11 games under .500 and 15.5 games out of 1st place. The Brewers are kind of like the Reds just not as bad. They can have a big game with the bats from time to time and their pitching isn’t the greatest allowing 4.76 runs per game.
Taking the mound for the Brewers today is Zach Davies who is 6-4 with a 4.10 ERA on the season. Davis got off to a bit of a slow start this season but he’s looked pretty impressive since allowing 2 or less earned runs in 9 of his last 12 starts.
Milwaukee Brewers Trends
Brewers are 5-13 in their last 18 road games.
Brewers are 6-2 in Davies’ last 8 starts.
Conclusion
I’m going with the Milwaukee Brewers over the Reds again today. Neither team is exactly very good but the Brewers are still the much better team in this matchup. I also like Zach Davies he’s pitched pretty good this season even if his numbers don’t show it.
Free Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -105
