Overview
The Milwaukee Brewers are in St Louis for the rubber match of their three game series with division rivals the St Louis Cardinals. Milwaukee won the first game of the series 3-2 while the Card’s took the second game 2-0. The Cardinals have played well versus the Brewers of late winning 9 of the last 13 meetings overall and 4 of the last 6 meetings in St Louis.
Head to Head Trends
Brewers are 21-44 in the last 65 meetings.
Cardinals are 7-0 in Millers last 7 starts vs. Brewers.
St Louis Cardinals (-137)
The St Louis Cardinals are 1st in the National League Central 2.5 games up on the 2nd place Pittsburgh Pirates. The Cardinals are 16 games over .500 on the season with a 84-68 record and most of their success has come at home where they are 19 games over .500 at 48-29. The Cardinals average 4.12 runs per game at home on offense which is about a half run higher then they do on the road while their defense is about the same at home as it is on the road. At home they allow 3.82 runs per game which is just slightly higher then they allow on the road. On the mound for the Cardinals today is Shelby Miller who is 10-9 with a 3.75 ERA on the season but he has been very good recently allowing just 1 run total over his last three starts.
St Louis Cardinals Trends
Cardinals are 12-3 in their last 15 games as a favorite.
Cardinals are 19-7 in their last 26 home games.
Milwaukee Brewers (+127)
The Milwaukee Brewers are 3rd in the National League Central 5 games behind the Cardinals for 1st place. The Brewers were actually in 1st place for most of the season but a few weeks ago they just went totally off the rails losing 13 of 14 games that not only knocked them out of 1st in the Central but they are now also out of the final wild card spot that is being help by their other division rival the Pittsburgh Pirates. Starting for the Brewers today is Kyle Lohse who is 12-9 with a 3.81 ERA on the season but Lohse has been knocked around fairly hard in 4 of his last 7 starts.
Milwaukee Brewers Trends
Brewers are 1-9 in their last 10 road games.
Brewers are 1-4 in Lohses last 5 road starts.
Conclusion
I like the St Louis Cardinals to beat the Brewers in this one today. The Card’s have Miller on the mound who has been outstanding lately while the Brewers have Lohse starting who has been pretty shaky recently getting knocked around in 4 of his last 7 starts 2 of which were against the Cardinals.
