The Minnesota Twins are in Boston for the 1st game of a four game series with the Red Sox. The Twins have won all three meetings so far this season but they were played in Minnesota and the Twins have had their struggles at Fenway over the last while winning just 7 of the last 22 meetings there.
Head to Head Trends
Twins are 7-15 in the last 22 meetings in Boston.
Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Boston.
Boston Red Sox (-170)
The Boston Red Sox are 5th in the American League East 7 games under .500 at 22-29 but because the AL East is so bad this season they are still just 4.5 games out of 1st place. The Red Sox got off to a hot start this season with wins in 6 of their first 8 games but things have been downhill ever since winning just 16 of their last 43 games.
On the hill for the Red Sox today is Clay Buchholz who is 2-6 with a 4.33 ERA on the season. Buchholz has had a few rough outings this season but he’s also had a lot of quality starts including his last 4 in a row.
Boston Red Sox Trends
Red Sox are 1-6 in their last 7 overall.
Red Sox are 1-8 in Buchholzs last 9 starts.
Minnesota Twins (+160)
The Minnesota Twins are 1st in the American League Central with a 30-19 record but are just a half game up on the Royals. The Twins actually got off to a slow start this season with just 1 win over their first 7 games but man have they turned things around winning 29 of their 42 games since.
Starting for the Twins in this one is Mike Pelfrey who is 4-1 with a 2.77 ERA in 9 starts this season. Pelfrey has pitched great this season he’s not super overpowering but he does keep the Twins in the game and gives them a great shot at winning.
Minnesota Twins Trends
Twins are 21-5 in their last 26 vs. a team with a losing record.
Twins are 7-1 in Pelfreys last 8 starts.
Conclusion
I’m going with the Minnesota Twins as a nice big +160 dog in this one. The Twins are red hot right now while the Sox have struggled for most of the season so I think there’s just too much value on the Twins today.
Free Pick: Minnesota Twins +160
