Head to Head Trends
Twins are 7-15 in the last 22 meetings in Boston.
Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Boston.
Boston Red Sox (-170)
The Boston Red Sox are 5th in the American League East 7 games under .500 at 22-29 but because the AL East is so bad this season they are still just 4.5 games out of 1st place. The Red Sox got off to a hot start this season with wins in 6 of their first 8 games but things have been downhill ever since winning just 16 of their last 43 games.
On the hill for the Red Sox today is Clay Buchholz who is 2-6 with a 4.33 ERA on the season. Buchholz has had a few rough outings this season but he’s also had a lot of quality starts including his last 4 in a row.
Boston Red Sox Trends
Red Sox are 1-6 in their last 7 overall.
Red Sox are 1-8 in Buchholzs last 9 starts.
Minnesota Twins (+160)
The Minnesota Twins are 1st in the American League Central with a 30-19 record but are just a half game up on the Royals. The Twins actually got off to a slow start this season with just 1 win over their first 7 games but man have they turned things around winning 29 of their 42 games since.
Starting for the Twins in this one is Mike Pelfrey who is 4-1 with a 2.77 ERA in 9 starts this season. Pelfrey has pitched great this season he’s not super overpowering but he does keep the Twins in the game and gives them a great shot at winning.
Minnesota Twins Trends
Twins are 21-5 in their last 26 vs. a team with a losing record.
Twins are 7-1 in Pelfreys last 8 starts.
Conclusion
I’m going with the Minnesota Twins as a nice big +160 dog in this one. The Twins are red hot right now while the Sox have struggled for most of the season so I think there’s just too much value on the Twins today.
Free Pick: Minnesota Twins +160
