Overview
The New York Mets start the post all star break on a west coast swing. The Mets are in San Diego for a three game series with the Padres. These teams have played just three games against each other so far this season with the Mets winning two of those games. The Mets are 12-8 in the last 20 meetings overall versus the Padres but just 7-13 in the last 20 meetings in San Diego.
Head to Head Trends
Mets are 7-13 in the last 20 meetings in San Diego.
San Diego Padres (-124)
The San Diego Padres are 3rd in the National League West 12 games back of the LA Dodges. The Padres have the worst offense in baseball by a mile with just 2.94 runs per game that’s almost a full run less then the next worse team. At home their offense is slightly better averaging 3.04 runs per game which is still pretty pathetic but they do have a good pitching staff allowing just 3.08 runs per game at home so expect the Padres to be in a lot of low scoring games. Starting for the Padres is Ian Kennedy who is 7-9 with a 3.47 era in 20 starts this season. Just before the all star break Kennedy was probably pitching the best he has all season allowing just 2 runs and 14 hits in his last three stars.
San Diego Padres Trends
Padres are 4-13 in their last 17 vs. a team with a losing record.
Padres are 3-7 in Kennedys last 10 starts as a favorite.
New York Mets (+114)
The New York Mets are 3rd in the National East 7 games back of both the Washington Nationals and Atlanta Braves. Going into the break the Mets were playing some really good ball winning 8 of their last 10 games. Over that stretch they were averaging 5.50 runs per game on offense and allowing 3.00 runs per game on defense. The Mets actually have a good run deferential this season at +0.20 but are still 5 games under .500 on the season at 45-50. Starting for the Mets is old man Bartolo Colon who is 8-8 with a 3.99 era on the season.
New York Mets Trends
Mets are 8-2 in their last 10 games.
Mets are 6-2 in Colons last 8 starts as an underdog.
Conclusion
I like the New York Mets to win this one tonight. They ended the first half playing solid and really hitting the ball well so if they can manage to put up 3 or more runs on the Padres they have a very good shot at winning the way the Padres score runs or I should say the way the Padres don’t score runs.
Free Pick: New York Mets +114
