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MLB Pick: San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies

Overview

The San Diego Padres are in Colorado this afternoon for the final game of a four game series versus the Rockies. The Padres won the first two games of the series but the Rockies took the last game 5-4 after scoring a run in the bottom of the 8th and another in the bottom of the 9th.

Head to Head Trends

Padres are 1-4 in Ross’ last 5 starts vs. Rockies.
Padres are 2-6 in the last 8 meetings in Colorado.

Colorado Rockies (+102)

The Colorado Rockies are 4th in the National League West with an 8-7 record and even though they are 4th this has still been a good start for them especially after how last season went. The Rockies actually started the season red hot winning 7 of their first 9 games but then hit a little rough patch losing 5 in a row before their win last night.

Starting for the Rockies is Jordan Lyles who is 1-1 with a 3.50 ERA in his 3 starts this season. Lyles pitched very well in his first couple starts allowing just 3 runs total but he did struggle in his last outing versus the Angels giving up 5 hits and 5 walks in 6 innings of work.

Colorado Rockies Trends

Rockies are 5-2 in their last 7 games as a home underdog.
Rockies are 1-8 in Lyles’ last 9 starts vs. National League West.

San Diego Padres (-112)

The San Diego Padres are 2nd in the NL West with a 10-6 record. Just like the Rockies this has been a good start to the season for the Padres especially after last seasons horrible first half. The big difference this season is they are actually hitting the ball well batting 2.80 and averaging 5.25 runs per game. Compare that to last season when they were hitting around .200 and averaging under 2 runs per game for the first couple months of the season.

On the hill for the Padres this afternoon is Tyson Ross who is 1-0 with a 4.08 ERA in his 3 starts so far this season. Ross has been solid in each of his 3 starts not allowing more then 3 runs in a game but his walks are pretty high averaging 4 walks per outing.

San Diego Padres Trends

Padres are 9-3 in their last 12 overall.
Padres are 1-5 in Ross’ last 6 road starts.

Conclusion

I’m going to go with the Colorado Rockies over the Padres in this one. I like betting underdogs in baseball especially home dogs so getting the Rockies as a dog at home versus the Padres is just too hard to pass up.

Free Pick: Colorado Rockies +102

 

Bet2win

Dean kicks ass at giving simple easy to read sports picks and includes the recent stats on both teams. He specializes in NHL and MLB, but also does NBA and Golf picks.

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