MLB Pick: San Francisco Giants at New York Mets

The San Francisco Giants are in New York for game three of a four game series with the Mets. San Francisco won the first game 5-1 while the Mets took game two 4-2. The Giants have won 6 of the last 8 meetings versus the Mets overall plus they have also won 9 of the last 13 meetings played in New York.

Head to Head Trends

Giants are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.
Giants are 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in New York.

New York Mets (+106)

The New York Mets are 4th in the National League East 7 games back of the Washington Nationals. The Mets are an odd team this season in the fact that they are under .500 but they actually score more runs then they allow. The Mets are 53-57 overall this season and they average 3.89 runs per game on offense while allowing 3.78 runs per game on defense. That’s not a huge run differential but the numbers that I find most interesting are their home numbers where they average 3.87 runs per game on offense and allow 3.43 runs per game on defense but are just 3 games over .500 at home with 28 wins versus 25 losses. I find this most interesting because in baseball things tend to even out over 162 games so don’t be surprised if the Mets win a lot of their home games the rest of the season especially a lot of close 1 run games. On the hill for the Mets today is the old man Bartolo Colon who is 10-8 with a 3.88 ERA.

New York Mets Trends

Mets are 10-4 in Colons last 14 starts.
Mets are 10-3 in their last 13 home games.

San Francisco Giants (-116)

The San Francisco Giants are 2nd in the National League West 3.5 games back of the LA Dodgers. The Giants had a great first couples months of the season going 42-20 over their first 62 games and it looked like they were going to walk away with the West but the Giants have since fell apart winning just 17 of their 47 games since and they are falling further and further back in the division. Starting for the Giants today is lefty Madison Bumgarner who is 12-8 with a 3.41 ERA. Bumgarner has some surprising numbers on the road this season where he is 8-2 with a 1.75 ERA versus at home where is just 4-6 with a 5.60 ERA.

San Francisco Giants Trends

Giants are 2-7 in their last 9 overall.
Giants are 5-1 in Bumgarners last 6 road starts.

Conclusion

I like the Mets to beat the Giants as a small home underdog today. The Mets have been playing some solid ball over the past month while the Giants really haven’t done much since the beginning of June winning just 17 of 47 games.

Free Pick: New York Mets +106