Overview
Head to Head Trends
Red Sox are 3-8 in Buchholzs last 11 starts vs. Rays.
Rays are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Boston.
Boston Red Sox (-135)
The Boston Red Sox are 4th in the American League East with a 12-13 record and just a half game up on the last place Toronto Blue Jays. The Red Sox started the season pretty good winning 6 of their first 8 games but they have really cooled off with just 3 wins over their last 11 games. The Red Sox pitching is largely to blame allowing 6.20 runs per game over their last 10 and it’s pretty evenly spread between their starters and relievers so it’s not looking good for the Sox right now.
Starting for the Red Sox today is Clay Buchholz who is 1-3 with a 5.76 ERA in his 5 starts this season. Buchholz has had three really good starts but he has also had a couple really bad ones so it’s hard to say what to expect out of him in this one.
Boston Red Sox Trends
Red Sox are 3-13 in Buchholzs last 16 home starts.
Red Sox are 10-27 in their last 37 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Tampa Bay Rays (+125)
The Tampa Bay Rays are 3rd in the American League West one game above .500 with a 13-12 record. The Rays have been a little hot and cold so far this season and that’s kind of to be expected as they can’t hit worth a frig so if their pitching isn’t 100% on they will struggle to win games but when their pitching is on they are tough to beat.
On the hill for the Rays today is Jake Odorizzi who is 2-2 with a 2.41 ERA on the season. Odorizzi has pitched great so far this season but run support has been his biggest problem averaging just 1.6 runs of support per game in his starts so lets hope that’s a trend they came turn around tonight.
Tampa Bay Rays Trends
Rays are 17-7 in their last 24 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Rays are 2-9 in Odorizzis last 11 starts as an underdog.
Conclusion
I’m going with the Tampa Bay Rays over the Red Sox on this one. I have this game as basically a coin flip so I’m just going to go with the underdog and hope for the best.
Free Pick: Tampa Bay Rays +125
