Overview
The Washington Nationals continue their four game series today with the New York Mets at Citi Field in New York. Washington won the first game of the series 6-2 while the Mets took the second game 4-3. Yesterdays win by the Mets ended what was actually a 12 game home losing streak versus the Nationals.
Head to Head Trends
Nationals are 41-14 in the last 55 meetings.
Nationals are 12-1 in the last 13 meetings in New York.
New York Mets (+123)
The New York Mets are 3rd in the National League East 12 games back of the Nationals for 1st place. The Mets are 4 games under .500 on the season with a 72-76 record and they might just get back over .500 by the end of the season if they keep playing the way they have been over the past week or so. The Mets have won 8 of their last 10 games and have outscored their opponents 44-30 in the process. On the hill for the Mets today is Zack Wheeler who is 10-9 with a 3.38 ERA on the season.
New York Mets Trends
Mets are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
Mets are 4-1 in Wheelers last 5 home starts.
Washington Nationals (-133)
The Washington Nationals are 1st in the National League East 8.5 games clear of the 2nd place Atlanta Braves. The Nationals were playing some real solid and consistent baseball for most of the summer but they have cooled off slightly as they are just 8-9 over their last 17 games. The Nationals are probably the most well rounded team in the National League. They are 2nd in the NL in runs allowed with 3.53 runs per game and they are also 2nd in the NL in runs scored with 4.27 runs per game. Starting for the National today is Doug Fister who is 13-6 with a 2.53 ERA although he is just 6-4 on the road versus 7-2 at home this season.
Washington National Trends
Nationals are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
Nationals are 15-6 in Fisters last 21 starts.
Conclusion
I’m going to take the New York Mets as a nice home dog again today. When you look at this matchup its actually pretty even. The Nationals road record is similar to the Mets home record and the two starting pitchers are also similar so there’s no real advantage there for either side. The Mets might have a slight advantage because they’re the hotter team but I still see this game as a coin flip (50/50) so at +123 the Mets only have to win 45% of the time to make this a profitable play so that’s value betting 101 right there.
Free Pick: New York Mets +123
