Colorado gets somewhat of a break heading into the May 28th Mets at Rockies betting matchup after facing Max Scherzer and Justin Verlander the last two days – a couple of pitchers with 6 Cy Young Awards between them. The fact that the Colorado picked up a 10-7 win on Saturday as +174 underdogs could be considered a series win in itself.
The Mets are down to -145 favorites after being priced at -204 and -191 the first two games of the series. Colorado has some value at +125 considering they are 14-14 at home while New York is a sub .500 team on the road and are just 2-3 on their current stretch away from the Big Apple.
Why the Mets Have Value on Sunday
The first thing that gives New York an edge in the May 28th Mets at Rockies betting matchup is the fact that Colorado could very easily take this game lightly. After running through the gauntlet that is Scherzer and Verlander, the Rockies probably look at Tylor Megill (5-3, 4.32 ERA) as a cake walk.
Megill gave up 3 ER over 4.2 IP to these Rockies back on May 6th as the Mets lost 5-2 at Citi Field as -205 favorites. Since then though Megill has allowed an ER to Washington and 2 ER to Tampa Bay’s #1 ranked offense in MLB before allowing 4 ER over 3.2 IP to the Cubs last time out. He’s got some downs – but also some upside.
New York lost on Saturday, but they rallied back from a 6-0 deficit to tie things up in the top of the 6th inning. Pete Alonso and Francisco Alvarez both homered to take advantage of the Coors Field atmosphere and Francisco Lindor also went deep on Friday. The Mets have now scored 22 runs over their last three games, so the offense seems ready to do their part again on Sunday.
Why the Rockies Have Value on Sunday
Colorado paid out nicely at +174 on Saturday even after surrendering a 6-run lead and having to rally back for the 10-7 win. The Rockies tagged Verlander for 9 hits and 6ER over just 5.0 IP as Colorado pushed their mark to 4-2 on their current home stand.
Colorado was stymied by Scherzer on Friday night as he threw 7.0 innings of 1-run ball, but Saturday’s breakout has to be a positive sign for the offense heading into the series finale. The first four spots in the Rockies lineup accounted for 7 RBI on Saturday, and every player in the Colorado lineup got a hit.
Austin Gomber (4-4, 6.48 ERA) will try to keep the talented Mets offense at bay on Sunday. The left-hander has fallen prey to Coors Field this season, posting a 7.98 ERA in 6 home starts compared to 4.35 on the road. Gomber faced the Mets at the start of the month, holding them to 2ER over 6.0 IP on May 6th but obviously everything changes back in the Rocky Mountains.
Free May 28th Mets at Rockies Betting Pick
New York has their best price of the series but it is getaway day with an idle spot on the schedule Monday. The Mets can go .500 on their current road trip with a win here, and they have done a good job of bouncing back after a loss going 5-2 after their last 7 following a defeat. Gomber has struggled at home making New York the play.
Free Pick: Mets -145
