Los Angeles Dodgers at Miami Marlins Betting Pick – Sep 17, 2024
SNLA will be televising Tuesday’s Dodgers vs. Marlins matchup, which gets started at 6:40 PM ET from loanDepot Park in Miami. The Dodgers are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -195 compared to the Marlins at +163. The over/under line is at 9.5 runs.
Los Angeles comes in with a record of 89-61 and has won two straight, while the Marlins are 55-95 and have lost three in a row. Bobby Miller will start for the Dodgers, while the Marlins are sending Darren McCaughan to the mound.
Dodgers Look to Extend Winning Streak as Bobby Miller Takes the Mound Against Marlins
Los Angeles is 89-61 overall and are 1st in the NL West. The Dodgers are 3.5 games ahead of the Padres. The Dodgers are 24-19 against other teams in the NL West and have won two straight games. They are 5-5 across their last 10 games. The Dodgers are 48-27 at home and 41-34 on the road. So far, they are 84-49 as the favorite and 5-12 as the underdog. They have gone 28-18-4 in series this season and split their most recent series 2-2 vs. the Braves.
Right-hander Bobby Miller gets the start for the Dodgers today against the Marlins. Miller has a record of 2-4 and an ERA of 8.17. He has a WHIP of 1.69 and opponents are hitting .274 against him this year. Miller has just two quality starts in 12 outings and is averaging 8.33 strikeouts per nine innings. The Dodgers are 37-38 against the run line on the road, and they are 7-10 as an underdog and 68-65 as the favorite. Their average run margin in wins is +3.7 and -3.5 in losses.
Marlins Seek to Break Skid Against Dodgers with McCaughan on the Mound
Miami is 5th in the NL East, and they trail the Phillies by 35 games in the division. The Marlins come into today’s game vs. the Dodgers at 55-95 overall, having dropped three straight games. Their struggles have been more pronounced vs. other NL East teams, as they are 17-32 in the division this year. Miami is giving the ball to right-hander Darren McCaughan today vs. the Dodgers.
He has made three starts and eight appearances this year and has a record of 0-0 with a 7.06 ERA. McCaughan’s WHIP for the season is 1.81, and opponents are batting .318 off him this year. The last time he pitched, McCaughan gave up three earned runs in five innings of work vs. the Nationals. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. In his last three starts, he has finished with a no-decision. McCaughan has allowed at least one homer in each of his last three outings.
Today’s over/under line of 9.5 runs is the highest of the season for the Miami Marlins, who have played 141 of their 150 games this season with lower lines. The Marlins have gone under the total in three straight games and have an over/under record of 79-66 this season. Miami’s games have averaged 8.9 runs per game, and the average over/under line for their games this season has been 8 runs. Miami has been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 70-80 overall.
They have been especially profitable on the road, where they are 38-37 against the run line. They have covered the run line in two straight games and have an average run differential of -1.3 runs per game. Miami’s offense has struggled this season, as they rank 29th in runs per game and 25th in home runs. Their batting average of .240 is below average, and their walk rank is 28th, the worst in the league. However, they have been slightly better at home, averaging 4.2 runs per game.
Jake Burger and Jesús Sánchez have been the top hitters for the Marlins this season, with Burger leading the team in home runs and RBI. In terms of recent performances, Otto Lopez has been hot at the plate, hitting .385 over his last 10 games. Josh Bell is currently on a 7-game hitting streak for the Marlins.
Underdog Alert: Marlins Predicted to Edge Dodgers in Thrilling 6-5 Victory
Our prediction for today’s Dodgers vs. Marlins matchup is to take the Marlins on the money line at +163. We have the Marlins winning this one by a final score of 6-5. With the payout being +163, you could also look to take the Marlins on the run line, as the payout would be even higher.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Darren McCaughan finishing with five strikeouts, which would have him finishing with the fifth-fewest among starters. As for Bobby Miller, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which would have him finishing with the 20th most.