NFL Pick: Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers

Overview

The Atlanta Falcons visit the Bank of America Stadium in Carolina for their big week 10 match up with division rivals the Carolina Panthers. The Panther have won the last 3 straight meetings versus the Falcons and covered the spread in 2 of the 3 games. The Panthers have won 4 of the last 6 meetings in Carolina and also covered the spread in 4 of the 6 games.

Head to Head Trends

Home team is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 meetings.
Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Carolina.

Carolina Panthers (+1)

The Carolina Panthers are 2nd in the NFC South with a 3-6-1 record. Even though the Panthers have just 3 wins on the season they are still just 1 win behind the 1st New Orleans Saints so if they can reel off a couple wins they have a good shot at making the playoffs. The Saints are looking good to win the division but the Panthers probably have the easiest remaining schedule in the league so if they can get their shit together they can really make some noise. The Panthers don’t exactly have the best offense averaging just 320 yards and 19.8 points per game and they also don’t exactly have a good defense either allowing 377 yards and 28.1 points per game so they can need to get better on both sides of the ball.

Carolina Panthers Trends

Panthers are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 home games.
Panthers are 14-5-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

Atlanta Falcons (-1)

The Atlanta Falcons are 3rd in the NFC South with a 3-6 record and they are also still in the race in the South but they actually have a pretty tough remaining schedule. The Falcons have a solid offense averaging 370 yards and 24.3 points per game but those numbers are a little inflated due to an easy schedule and that big blowout win against the Bucs earlier in the season. On defense they are absolutely horrible allowing 405 yards and 26.4 points per game. The Falcons are one of only two teams allowing over 400 yards per game with the other team being the Giants but the Giants have had the 2nd toughest schedule in the league so you can basically say the Falcons have the worst defense in the entire NFL.

Atlanta Falcons Trends

Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Falcons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC South.

Conclusion

I’m going with the Panthers over the Falcons in this one. Neither team is very good in general but the Falcons have won just 2 games on the road over the last 2 seasons and with them actually being a 1 point favorite in this one they have to win outright on the road which doesn’t not seem all that likely if the past is any indication.

Free Pick: Carolina Panthers +1