NFL Pick: Kansas City Chiefs at Oakland Raiders

Oakland Raiders and Kansas City ChiefsOverview

The Kansas City Chiefs head out west Sunday for their big week 13 match up versus division rivals the Oakland Raiders. In 2014 the Chiefs and Raiders split the season series with both teams winning their home game but in 2013 the Chiefs sweep both games and covered the spread in both games as well.

Head to Head Trends

Chiefs are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 meetings in Oakland.
Under is 15-5 in the last 20 meetings.

Oakland Raiders (+3)

The Oakland Raiders are 3rd in the AFC West with a 5-6 record 4 wins back of the 1st place Arizona Cardinals. The picture is starting to become a lot more clear on the Oakland Raiders. At times this season some people were thinking man this is a pretty good Raiders team but other time they were just flat out bad.

Now that we are 11 games into the season one main pattern is starting to show with the Raiders and that is they mostly only beat up on bad defenses and then lose to everyone else. Versus the Lions, Vikings, Broncos, and Bengals they averaged just 12.5 points but their other 7 games they averaged 30 points per game. This week Chiefs also have a pretty good defense so we’ll see if this trend continues today.

Oakland Raiders trends

Raiders are 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 games following a S.U. win.
Raiders are 16-35-1 ATS in their last 52 games in December.

Kansas City Chiefs (-3)

The Kansas City Chiefs are 2nd in the AFC West with a 6-5 record 3 wins back of the 1st place Arizona Cardinals. The Chiefs had a horrible start to the season losing 5 of their first 6 games but they somehow managed to turn things about and have now won their last 5 games in a row.

The Chiefs averaged just 21.2 points per game on offense while allowing 26.5 on defense over their first 6 games this season but over their last 5 games they are scoring 32 points on offense while allowing just 12.2 points per game which is an absolutely incredible turn around.

Kansas City Chiefs Trends

Chiefs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Chiefs are 7-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

On the NFL Moneyline odds at the BetOnline sportsbook the KC Chiefs are at -150 and with the point spread the Raiders are getting a +3 points.

Conclusion

I’m going with the Kansas City Chiefs over the Raiders in this one. The Chiefs have turned into one of the best teams in the league especially on defense allowing just 12.2 points per game over their last 5 games and with the Raiders struggles versus good defensive teams I think they are going to have a hard time do anything with the Chiefs today.

Free Pick: Kansas City Chiefs -3  

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