NHL Pick: Washington Capitals at Edmonton Oilers

Capitals NHL LogoOverview

The Washington Capitals head out west to Edmonton where they take on the Oilers. Being if different conferences the Capitals and Oilers don’t hook up all that often just 6 times since 2010 with each team winning 3 games a piece.

Head to Head Trends

Capitals are 2-8 in the last 10 meetings in Edmonton.
Home team is 16-4 in the last 20 meetings.

Edmonton Oilers (+100)

The Edmonton Oilers are 5th in the Pacific Division with a 3-4 record  just 2 points back of the 1st place San Jose Sharks. It took a while for the Oilers to get going losing their first 4 games of the season although to be fair those four game were against some of the best teams in the league. The Oilers have won their last 3 games in a row outscoring their opponents 10-4 but I want to see a few more games from this young Oilers team before I start calling them a legitimate good team.

Edmonton Oilers Trends

Oilers are 12-25 in their last 37 home games.
Oilers are 15-43 in their last 58 vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Washington Capitals (-110)

The Washington Capitals are 2nd in the Metropolitan Division with a 5-1 record just a single point behind the New York Rangers for 1st place. This has been a great start for the Capitals they are scoring goals like most thought they would but I think what’s more impressive is their goaltending/defense allowing just 2.33 goals and 24.3 shots per game.

It looks like backup goalie Philipp Grubauer will be getting the start in this one which is kind of a double edged sword. This will be Grubauer first start of the season so we don’t really know what to expect out of him which is a bad thing but because he’s in net we’re getting slightly better odds which is a good thing.

Washington Capitals Trends

Capitals are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Capitals are 4-0 in their last 4 in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation.

Conclusion

I’m going with the Washington Capitals over the Oilers in this one. This is kind of a tough game to predict as the Oilers are a young team with a lot of talent so they will probably win their fair share of games but I think they will also lose their fair share as well. I think if the odds are reasonable the Oilers are a good fade but I’d be careful betting on or against this team.

Free Pick: Washington Capitals -110

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