July 4th Rocket Mortgage Classic 3rd round betting seems to be shaping up like the RBC Heritage a couple weeks ago. 15 golfers went into Sunday within 3 strokes of the lead in that tourney. After two rounds at Detroit GC there are 10 golfers in the -10 to -12 range.
Webb Simpson is one of those co-leaders and he’s the +250 live favorite to win the weekend. Chris Kirk also sits at -12 but oddsmakers seem to be expecting him to fall of the pace at +1400 to win it all. Here’s a look at some matchups in July 4th Rocket Mortgage Classic 3rd round betting.
3rd Round Matchup Bryson DeChambeau (-115) vs. Webb Simpson (-115)
The most interesting pairing for July 4th Rocket Mortgage Classic betting has to be Bryson DeChambeau vs. Webb Simpson. Oddsmakers are calling this one a split with both golfers listed at -115. DeChambeau comes into Saturday’s round just a stroke back from Simpson, who leads the tournament at -12.
DeChambeau has finished in the top 8 in all three tournaments since the PGA restart and was the pre-tournament favorite to win in Detroit. Simpson has been able to finish though, winning the RBC Heritage in his last tournament. Dechambeau shot -6 on Thursday despite three bogeys. Simpson is on a roll though hitting 88.9% of greens in regulation.
Pick: Simpson -115
3rd Round Matchup Doc Redman (-135) vs. Kevin Kisner (+105)
Doc Redman would seem to be the value play in his Saturday matchup with Kevin Kisner even at the price of -135. Redman is a stroke back from Kisner at -9 after Saturday’s 70 though. Redman did shoot a -7 65 on Thursday and finished runner-up at this event last season.
Kisner might be a tough beat though. He also shot -7 in the first round but both golfers had 4 bogeys on Friday. Kisner minimized the damage with an Eagle on 6 though. Kisner is smoking the ball with an average drive of 305 but Redman has hit 86% of the greens in regulation. It’s a true toss-up, so you take the better payout.
Pick: Kisner +105
3rd Round Matchup Brendon Todd (Even) vs. Harold Varner III (-130)
Brendon Todd was in the hunt last week at the Traveler’s but a horrible final round 75 pushed him down to an 11th placed finish. Todd was magical last Saturday shooting a 61 so does he have another outing like that in him? Todd is matched up with Harold Varner III for Saturday’s wagering as both golfers come into the weekend -7.
Varner was done in by a double-bogey at 14 on Thursday but he still finished a respectable -5. Varner III is hitting 82% or better in both fareways and GIR. Todd on the other hand is hitting only 71.4% of fareways and is also being outdriven by Saturday’s opponent. Have to like the chalk in that regards.
Pick: Varner III -130
End of 3rd Round Leader
Simpson (+250) and DeChambeau (+275) are the overwhelming favorites to take the lead going into Sunday. Co-leader Chris Kirk (+700) has some value in this wager after scoring a birdie on 6 of the first 9 holes on Friday. Ryan Armour (+1600) is also just a stroke off the lead at -11 following yesterday’s -8 round.
The dark horse play in this one is Richy Werenski at +1800 though. Werenski has hit 82.1% of his fairways and is rolling along at an 83.3% of GIR. Throw in an average drive of 305 through the first two rounds and Werenski has the wherewithal to make some noise on Saturday.
Pick: End of 3rd Round Leader Richy Werenski +1800
