On paper the June 26th MLB free betting pick looks pretty cut and dried as Colorado tries to earn the series win over San Francisco with the more favorable pitching matchup. The Rockies have scored just 2 runs in each of the last two games however and will be wrapping up a 9 game road swing on Thursday. The Rockies could also fall guilty to a ‘look ahead’ game as they head back to Coors Field to take on the Dodgers, who have a 12 game lead in the West. Is it actually San Francisco +124 that has the value.
Colorado Tries to Find Offense Wednesday
The Rockies have scored just 4 runs so far in the two games at Oracle Park but it’s been enough for a series split. Colorado scored a 2-0 shutout win on Monday behind a gem from Jon Gray but fell 2-4 on Tuesday. The Rockies have just 8 total hits in the series but could get things going against San Francisco’s Jeff Samardzija on Wednesday. Daniel Murphy has gone 10-20 vs. the Giants starter and Ian Desmond 10-30 with 2 HR. Desmond, Nolan Arenado, and Charlie Blackmon have all seen Samardzija a ton with 30+ AB each.
One reason the Rockies have the pitching matchup edge in the June 26th MLB betting free pick is because German Marquez is coming off a solid start vs. the Dodgers in which he allowed just 1 ER over 8.0 IP. Marquez had allowed 19 ER in the three outings prior, but two of those contests were at hitter-friendly Coors Field. Marquez has a 3.02 ERA on the road this season compared to 5+ at home. One of those road outings was a 1 hit SO vs. these Giants back on April 14th.
Can San Francisco Be Trusted Behind Struggling Samardzija?
Giants pitchers Drew Pomeranz and Madison Bumgarner have largely held the Rockies bats in check so far this series. Jeff Samardzija tries to make it three straight strong outings from Giants starters but that will require a complete reversal from how he’s been pitching lately. Samardzija has allowed at least 4ER in 3 of his last 5 starts and the Rockies have a team BA above .300 in nearly 200 plate appearances. The right-hander did pitch well vs. Colorado early in the year however, holding them to just 3 hits and 0ER in early April at Coors Field. Oddsmakers are expecting a strong outing Wednesday too, setting the O/U at a measly 7.5.
Colorado has just 8 hits in the series but Giants bats haven’t exactly been lighting things up either, hence the low total for the June 26th MLB free betting pick. San Francisco was shut out Monday which was the 4th time in the last 7 games they were held to 2 runs or less. The team has gone 21-65 vs. Marquez (.329) led by Brandon Belt (5-10, 3 XB hits). There may be more offense than oddsmakers think in this one.
Top Trends:
- Rockies are 1-4 last 5 road games
- Rockies are 10-4 in Marquez’s last 14 starts
- Giants are 7-3 their last 10 vs. RH starter
- Giants are 2-6 in Samardzija’s last 8 starts
- Giants are 0-4 in Samardzija’s last 4 home starts
- Rockies are 6-15 last 21 in San Francisco
June 26th MLB Betting Free Pick
Colorado bats were stymied by Bumgarner on Tuesday and were lucky to get the win on Monday. It’s getaway day for the Rockies which could have them a bit distracted. Samardzija hasn’t looked the greatest lately, but he does have a 3.16 ERA at home on the year (5.08 on the road). The public loves the Rockies, but they just don’t play well at Oracle Park.
MLB Free Betting Pick: Giants +124
