We’ve got a good one in store for the 11/8 free college football pick as 8-1 Toledo Rockets visit the 7-2 Ohio Bobcats. Toledo sits atop the MAC West at 5-0 and has already beat 4-1 second place Northern Illinois. Ohio is up top of the Mac East at 4-1 and has already toppled 4-2 Akron who trails them. Basically, both teams control their own destiny and can afford a loss tonight – but would prefer a win to make their path easier.
Oddsmakers have actually made Toledo -3 favorites on the road as their only loss of the season came at undefeated Miami, a 30-52 defeat in week four. Ohio suffered a defeat at Purdue earlier in the season, but was also toppled at home by Central Michigan 23-26 as -10.5 favorites.
Line Dropping For Toledo
Bettors are going fishing in the 11/8 free college football pick as the line is dropping. The game opened with Toledo as -6.5 road favorites but the line has dropped to -3.5, despite the fact that over 65% of the public are backing the Rockets. Toledo isn’t a bad bet, after all they’ve won five straight three of which were by 20 or more points.
Toledo has one of the best 1-2 offensive combos in the country in QB Logan Woodside and RB Terry Swanson. Woodside has thrown for 2656 yards with 19TD against just 2 INTs. Swanson has ran for 100+ yards in five of the last six games including a 3TD performance last week against a stout NIU defense. Ohio has a solid D against the rush giving up only 123.1 YPG (21st in the nation) but are 94th versus the pass giving up over 250 per game.
.@OhioFootball: Here’s why the upcoming game against the Toledo Rockets is so important https://t.co/1QruLZSlRf
— The Post (@ThePost) November 8, 2017
Ohio Needs Their Offense To Fire In a Potential Shootout
The Ohio offense isn’t worried about what their counterparts on the other sideline are doing as the Bobcats have scored 45+ points in four of the last five games. Sure they’ve been beating up on the bottom feeders of the MAC (Kent State, Bowling Green, Miami-Ohio) but that’s some impressive numbers nonetheless.
It’s mostly the running game behind A.J Ouellette (832 yards)that is powering the surge. QB Nathan Rourke is a dual-threat signal caller however and has ran for 548 yards and 16 TD this season. Rourke has also thrown 5TD against 0 INT the last two games. The Toledo defense is middle of the pack in just about every major category so there may be opportunities there.
@OhioBobcats are about to put @UToledo on the cob and go to town #MACtion @PapiWhite4 @nathan_rourke pic.twitter.com/xdNNTH5V65
— Gassy Bandits (@GassyBandits) November 8, 2017
11/8 Free College Football Pick – Betting
There’s some reverse line movement that bettors should be aware of despite the explosiveness of the Toledo offense. Ohio is not only at home, but has over a week of rest after playing last Tuesday compared to Toledo only having five days to prepare for this game – and after a clash with NIU last Thursday. Oddsmakers are expecting a shootout setting the total at 63, but it will be Toledo doing the chasing.
Pick: Ohio Bobcats +3.5
