2018 Big Ten West College Football Betting Preview
As you would expect, our 2018 Big Ten West college football betting preview envisions the Wisconsin Badgers as being the top team in this division. As a matter of course, Wisconsin comes into this season with a good offense and a promising defense. They also have a fairly friendly schedule. At this point, the teams in the West that are in the AP Top 25 are the Badgers and Northwestern. We think that Iowa has a fine chance of moving onto that list. Here’s how we see the Big Ten West.
1. Wisconsin Badgers
Offense
Defense & Special Teams
On defense for the Badgers, just four starters return. Last season the Badger defense held opponents to 13.9 PPG (1st Big Ten, 3rd Nationally). This season could be a bit different due to some weaknesses in the frontline. The linebacking unit is sound, while the edges of the D-line are questionable. The biggest challenge for this team will be making sure the corners are effective. The safety situation is less of a concern. Special teams are a tad unpredictable. After reading through our 2018 Big Ten West college football betting preview, you can get more information on this team by checking out our top-25 preview of the Wisconsin Badgers.
2. Iowa Hawkeyes
Offense
Defense & Special Teams
One question for the Hawkeyes relates to its defense and the ability of defensive coordinator, Phil Parker, to replace the contributions of All-American LB Josey Jewell and CB Josh Jackson. Sophomore Matt Hankins (21 TKLs, 1 PBU, 0 INT) and junior Michael Ojemidia (29 TKLs, 1 PBU, 0 INT) will get the call at corner. SS Amani Hooker, a junior, accumulated 56 tackles last season while grabbing two picks. The defensive end spots are both well-manned as senior Parker Hesse (43 TKLs, 4 SCKs, 6.5 TFL) and junior Anthony Nelson (41 TKLs, 7.5 SCKs, 2 TFL) start once again. Hesse had three PBU and three QBHs last season, while Nelson managed four and seven respectively. The linebacking unit lost a lot of talent and experience and could be a problem this year. On special teams, PK Miguel Recinos returns after posting sound numbers in 2017. The punting situation is up in the air, while this team could use an uptick when it comes to bringing back punts and kicks.
3. Northwestern Wildcats
Offense
Defense & Special Teams
The Northwestern defense welcomes back seven starters including sophomore MLB Paddy Fisher and senior OLB Nate Hall. Fisher led the team in tackles while Hall was second; together they combined for 20.5 TFL. CB Montre Hartage comes back for his senior year after bringing down three picks and breaking up seven passes. On the line, Joe Gaziano, now a junior, proved to be a major asset as he recorded nine sacks and a dozen quarterback hurries. PK Charlie Kuhbander had a very sound freshman season as he nailed 43-of-44 extra points and 13-of-16 field goals. The punting spot is up for grabs. When it comes to kick returns watch senior Solomon Vault. He returns from injury and hopes to increase his TD total on returns, which now stands at four. Please read through our entire 2018 Big Ten West college football betting preview and then access more information on this team by going to our top-25 preview of the Northwestern Wildcats.
4. Nebraska Cornhuskers
Offense
Defense & Special Teams
The Husker D was porous last year, allowing 36.6 PPG (13th Big Ten, 116th Nationally) and 436.2 YPG (14th Big Ten, 101st Nationally). Defensive coordinator Erik Chinander is the third man to occupy that spot in five years. He comes in with a defensive scheme that calls for players to be loose and not be afraid of failure. All of the Nebraska frontline starting three from 2017, including junior DE Carlos Davis (42 TKLs, 1.5 SCKs, 2.5 TFL). He led the team with six QBHs. Although not a starter, sophomore DE Ben Stille was effective as he accumulated 24 tackles, 3.5 sacks, and 6.5 TFL. ILB Dedrick Young returns as the leading tackler with 80 and OLB Luke Gifford, a senior, comes back after making 39 tackles including 3.5 TFL. The secondary is led by safety Aaron Williams (48 TKLs, 1 PBU, 2 INTs). Punter Caleb Lightbourn was effective last season nailing 21 within the 20 and netting 38.9 YPP. Consistent PK and team-leader Drew Brown will have to be replaced. J.D. Spielman has been effective on kick returns, averaging 24.1 YPR and bringing one back for a TD. The punt return unit is problematic. The Cornhuskers are not helped by what is a demanding schedule that includes the Buckeyes and Spartans.
5. Minnesota Golden Gophers
Offense
Defense & Special Teams
The Minnesota defense played well last year and was especially effective against the pass. The LB unit is the best part of this D, as leading tackler Thomas Barber (115 TKLs, 1.5 SCKs, 9 TFL) and versatile OLB Kamal Martin (42 TKLs, 2 SCKs, 4.5 TFL) return for their junior seasons. Junior DE Carter Coughlin (37 TKLs, 6.5 SCKs, 5 TFL) and senior safety Jacob Huff (65 TKLs, 4 PBU, 3 INTs) are both quality defenders. Junior Antoine Winfield (20 TKLs, 1 SCK, 2 PBU) returns after an injury-shortened 2017 season. He could be a major contributor on this team. The special teams should be solid when it comes to punting and kicking. That is as long as PK Emmit Carpenter, who was 2016 Big Ten Kicker of the Year, can recover from a disappointing sophomore year where he missed six of his 20 field goal attempts. The return game needs help.
6. Purdue Boilermakers
Offense
Defense & Special Teams
While the Purdue offense averaged 25.2 PPG (8th Big Ten, 91st Nationally), their defense allowed just 20.5 PPG (8th Big Ten, 24th Nationally). Only four starters return to this side of the ball. DT Lorenz Neal (22 TKLs, 2 SCKs, 3.5 TFL), a junior, will be the leader up front. Junior MLB Markus Bailey (89 TKLs, 7 SCKs, 4 TFL) will anchor that unit, while senior strong safety Jacob Thieneman (80 TKLs, 2 PBU, 2 INT) will be the glue in the secondary. Junior FS Navon Mosley (65 TKLs, 3 PBU, 2 INTs) will also be a factor. In researching this 2018 Big Ten West college football betting preview, we found that the front seven are the biggest concern for this side of the ball.
This is a group that went from being ranked 117th in scoring defense in 2016 to 24th. In large part that occurred due to the influence of D-coordinator Nick Holt. Can Holt keep this squad on task and productive? On special teams, punter Joe Schopper placed 30 of his 73 punts within the 20, while PK Spencer Evans can boom kickoffs. The punt return game needs a major overhaul, while kick returns also need improvement.
7. Illinois Fighting Illini
Offense
Defense & Special Teams
Illinois allowed 31.5 PPG last season, making them -16.1 PPG. The entire starting secondary, now comprised of juniors and sophomores, returns. Sophomore safety Bennett Williams led the club in picks last year with three. DE Bobby Roundtree also had a good frosh season in 2017 as he nailed 50 tackles and four sacks while breaking up four passes and making a pick. Senior Del’Shawn Phillips is the lone returning starter in the linebacking unit. He led Illinois in tackles with 85 while also notching three TFL and two PBU. The special teams include sophomore punter Blake Hayes who netted 39.3 YPP and put 22 within the 20. PK Chase McLaughlin struggled from beyond the 40 where he went 3-for-8, while going 9-for-9 within the 39. One final note from our 2018 Big Ten West college football betting preview, the return units need to execute better.
2018 Big Ten West Preview
Bowl Projections
Rose Bowl Game: Wisconsin vs Notre Dame
Gator Bowl: Northwestern vs Florida
Holiday Bowl: Iowa vs USC
San Francisco Bowl: Oregon vs Minnesota
Pinstripe Bowl: Duke vs Nebraska
2018 Big Ten West College Football Betting Preview
Projected Best Bets
Aug 30: Northwestern @ Purdue – Take Wildcats by -14 or better.
Sep 1: Nebraska @ Akron – Take Cornhuskers by 21.
Sep 8: Fresno State @ Minnesota – Golden Gophers win by at least 12. Fresno State struggles.
Sep 8: Eastern Michigan @ Purdue – Boilermakers favored by 18 or fewer.
Sep 15: Northern Iowa @ Iowa – Hawkeyes by 10 points.
Oct 13: Wisconsin @ Michigan – Wolverines in a close one.This will be a good game.
Oct 20: Northwestern @ Rutgers – We like NW by 15 points.
Nov 10: Wisconsin @ Rutgers – Wisconsin favored by 20 points or fewer.
Nov 17: Iowa @ Illinois – Bet Fighting Illini if given 28 or more points. They’ll need those points.
Nov 24: Minnesota @ Wisconsin – Badgers by about 21.
We hope that you found our 2018 Big Ten West college football betting preview helpful. See our Big Ten East college football betting preview now or return to our conference hub.