MLB Picks

Houston Astros at San Diego Padres Betting Pick – Sep 18, 2024

Wednesday’s interleague matchup between the Astros and Padres is set for 6:40 PM ET from PETCO Park in San Diego. The Padres are 86-66 and are 2nd in the NL West, while the Astros lead the AL West with a record of 82-69.

Currently, the money line odds have the Astros at -112 compared to the Padres at -106, and the over/under line is at 7 runs. Framber Valdez is starting for the Astros, and he is facing off against Dylan Cease for the Padres.

Astros Aim to Extend Winning Streak with Valdez on the Mound Against Padres

The Astros are 82-69 overall and lead the AL West by five games. They are 25-20 in divisional games this season. Houston is 40-37 on the road compared to 42-32 at home. Overall, the Astros are 26-20-2 in series this season. They have won four straight games as the favorite and are 63-49 when favored. As the underdog, they are 19-20. Over their last 10 games, the Astros are 6-4. Framber Valdez gets the start for the Astros today, and he is 14-6 with a 2.91 ERA. His WHIP for the season is 1.09.

Today, the Astros are on the road against the Padres, and the over/under line is set at 7 runs. The Astros have an over/under record of 61-85 this season, and their average over/under line is set at 9 runs. When the over/under line is set at 7 runs, the Astros are 1-4. 96.7% of their games this season have had over/under lines set higher than 7 runs. Houston’s current under streak is at two games. Offensively, the Astros are 12th in scoring at 4.6 runs per game. Yordan Alvarez leads the team in batting average at .307 and has 34 homers and 85 RBI. Jose Altuve is hitting .301 with 19 homers and 63 RBI. Alex Bregman is hitting just .211 over his last nine games.

Padres Push for Playoffs: Battling Dodgers in NL West with Stellar Road Record and League-Best Batting Average

The Padres are 3.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West with an overall record of 86-66. They are 41-36 at home and 45-30 on the road. San Diego is 29-15-6 in series this year and are currently tied with the Astros. They have an Over/Under record of 80-69 this year and are 11-3-2 when the O/U line is set at 7 runs. Overall, 89.5% of their games have had higher O/U lines than 7 runs, and their games have averaged 8 runs per game.

The Padres are 8th in the league in runs per game at 4.8, and they have the best team batting average in the MLB at .265. They are 4th in the league in runs per game on the road at 5.1. San Diego is starting right-hander Dylan Cease today, and he is 13-11 with a 3.58 ERA. Cease has a home record of 5-7 and an ERA of 3.46. He is coming off a win vs. the Giants and has a WHIP of 1.09 this season. As a team, the Padres are 77-75 on the run line this year and have an average run differential of +0.6 runs per game.

Astros Set to Edge Out Padres in Thrilling 6-5 Victory: Bet on the Underdogs!

Our prediction for today’s Astros vs. Padres game is that the Astros will pick up the win on the road by a score of 6-5. Given that the Astros are the underdogs on the money line at -112, this is the bet that we would recommend making.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Framber Valdez going four innings and finishing with five strikeouts. As for Dylan Cease, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts as well. Offensively, the Astros are our top-ranked team in terms of projected runs, and they are also projected to finish with more home runs than any other team today.

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