MLB Picks

Miami Marlins at Minnesota Twins Betting Pick – Sep 24, 2024

From Target Field in Minneapolis, we have the Marlins and Twins facing off in an interleague matchup. First pitch for this one is 7:40 PM ET, and the forecast calls for scattered clouds and temperatures in the upper 60s.

Minnesota is the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -243 compared to the Marlins at +203. Today’s over/under line is at 8 runs, and the Twins will be looking to end a two-game losing streak. Miami comes in with a record of 57-99 and they are 5th in the NL East. Bailey Ober is the Twins’ starter, while the Marlins are sending Ryan Weathers to the mound. This one can be seen on BSFL.

Marlins Struggle to Find Footing as Weathers Takes the Mound Against Twins

Miami is 57-99 overall, putting them 5th in the NL East, and they trail the Phillies by 35.5 games for the division lead. The Marlins are just 18-34 against other teams in the NL East. They are on a two-game losing streak overall, with their last two losses coming at home. As the underdog, Miami is 53-85 this year and just 4-14 when favored. The Marlins’ overall series record is 11-30-9, and they have lost four straight series overall.

Miami is sending left-hander Ryan Weathers to the mound today vs. the Twins. He has made 14 starts this season and has a record of 3-6 with a 3.94 ERA. Weathers’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.18. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up five earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work vs. the Dodgers. Weathers has allowed at least one homer in three straight outings. The last time he didn’t give up a homer was on May 26 vs. the Diamondbacks. At home, his ERA is 6.95 compared to 2.22 on the road. Miami’s offense is led by Jake Burger, who is hitting .324 with 3 home runs and 8 RBIs over his last 10 games. He has a 4-game hitting streak, along with Josh Bell and Bryan De La Cruz. Overall, the Marlins are 28th in scoring, averaging just 3.8 runs per game.

Twins Look to Turn Tide Against Marlins as Ober Takes the Mound

The Twins are 81-75 and 4th in the AL Central, sitting 8.5 games behind the Guardians. They are 3-7 across their last 10 games. Bailey Ober has a 12-7 record and a 3.84 ERA this year, and he has a WHIP of .97. He will be facing a Marlins lineup that is 17-30 as the underdog this season. Minnesota’s offense is 11th in scoring, averaging 4.6 runs per game, and they are 6th in scoring at home, putting up 4.9 runs per game. Their OPS of .730 is 9th in MLB.

Minnesota is 72-84 on the run line this season, and they are 32-43 at home. The Twins are 64-45 as the favorite, and they are 26-20-4 in series matchups. Today’s game is the start of a new series for Minnesota, and they are 79-71 to the over this year. Their games have had an average total of 8 runs, and they have gone 14-21-5 to the over when the total is set at 8 runs. The Twins are 29-23 in divisional games this season.

Betting Preview: Take the Over in Marlins vs. Twins Showdown

The best bet in the Marlins vs. Twins matchup is to take the over, with the line sitting at 8 runs. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Twins, giving us a little bit of wiggle room if you wanted to take the Twins on the money line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Bailey Ober finishing with six strikeouts compared to Ryan Weathers with five. However, we have Ober finishing with a higher ERA than Weathers, so if you’re looking at a prop bet, you could look at the over/under on Weathers’ strikeout line.

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