The New York Mets head into Milwaukee for a four game series with the Milwaukee Brewers. These two teams have only played 3 games against each other so far this season with the Brewers winning 2 of the 3. The Brewers have played the Mets well over the last few seasons winning 13 of the last 20 meetings.
Head to Head Trends
Mets are 7-13 in the last 20 meetings.
Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.
Milwaukee Brewers (-149)
The Milwaukee Brewers are 1st in the National League Central 2.5 games up on both the St Louis Cardinals and Pittsburgh Pirates. Heading into the all star break the Brewers were really struggling losing 11 of their final 13 games but looks like that week off was just what the doctor ordered for the Brewers as they have won 4 of the 6 games since the break. The Brewers have the second highest scoring offense in the National League behind the Colorado Rockies but the Rockies numbers are a bit inflated due to playing up in the thin air of Denver so the Brewers could arguably have the best offense in the National League. On the mound for the Brewers is Matt Garza who is 6-7 with a 4.04 ERA on the season.
Milwaukee Brewers Trends
Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
Brewers are 63-19 in their last 82 games as a favorite of -151 to -200.
Brewers are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
New York Mets (+139)
The New York Mets are 3rd in the National League East 8 games back of the Washington Nationals. The Mets were on a pretty good hot streak heading into the break winning 7 of 8 games but the all star break can be a momentum killer sometimes as the Mets are just 3-3 since the break. The Mets are 7 games under .500 on the road where they average 4.06 runs per game on offense and allow 4.11 runs per game on defense. Starting for the Mets today is Dillon Gee who is 4-2 with a 2.92 ERA 10 starts this season.
New York Mets Trends
Mets are 8-17 in their last 25 games as a road underdog.
Mets are 8-20 in their last 28 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Mets are 7-2 in Gees last 9 starts with 4 days of rest.
Conclusion
I like the Milwaukee Brewers to keep up their recent good play and beat the Mets today. The Brewers had their little cold stretch but it looks like that is all over with and they’re back playing good and winning games again.
Free Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -149
